Survivor San Juan Del Sur Rankings

Post-Episode 3

These rankings are done BCS style with each player ranked according to the following three categories. Their points for each ranking (which will vary week to week depending on how many contestants there are, eg. with ten people remaining the person ranked first will get ten points, the person ranked tenth will get one) will be added up in a final tally similar to that of the old NCAA BCS rankings (yes I know that was terrible, but it’s fun here).

The three categories:

Position in the Game: This calculates what their position currently seems to be, are they in the middle of an alliance or are they on the outside?

Capability: This is the most subjective of the three, but is based in who I feel has the best skills as a Survivor player. Some of these people may be in a bad position, but with their skills can find a way out of it.

Edit: Survivor is a highly edited show where footage is selected in order to create episodic and full season storylines. The way a person is edited can help to predict how well they will do in the game. If a player is in a very bad position, but is getting a good edit, it is conceivable they will find a way out of it at some point.

The Rankings:

Last week #13 in the rankings, John, went home.

15. Drew (last week: 15th) (Position: 14th , Capabilities: 15th, Edit: 15th Total: 4 points)

drew

The cocky, lazy, doofus edit doesn’t serve him, plus he has been pointed out by Jeremy as someone he wants to get rid of.

14. Jaclyn (last week: 16th) (Position: 13th , Capabilities: 14th, Edit: 14th Total: 7 points)

jaclyn

Moves up a spot because she is just about reaching the point where nobody will want to get rid of her, however her lack of air time gives her no chance of winning.

13. Dale (last week: 9th) (Position: 15th , Capabilities: 10th, Edit: 10th Total: 13 points )

dale

Being on the outs and the weakest in a losing tribe has shot Dale down to the bottom. Surviving until a swap could do him some good, but I don’t think he has what it takes.

12. Jon (last week: 14th) (Position: 11th , Capabilities: 12th, Edit: 8th Total: 20 points)

jon

Not much from him this week, we need to see his tribe go to tribal to see where he really stands, but it seems like it’s outside the main alliance.

11. Julie (last week: 12th) (Position: 12th, Capabilities: 7th, Edit: 9th Total: 20 points)

julie

Hard to say how much Julie hurts or benefits from John leaving. Any animosity toward her could be nullified by his exit, but it may already be too late for her.

10. Alec (last week: 5th) (Position: 6th, Capabilities: 8th, Edit: 12th Total: 22 points)

alec

Drops this week because of the shattering of the guys’ alliance – which is perfectly suited to help someone like him. Add to this that he did not actually want to vote Rocker out and was shown as being outside the main decision making process and I am thinking Alec is less and less capable of winning.

9. Reed (last week: 10th) (Position: 7th , Capabilities: 4th, Edit: 13th Total: 24 points)

reed

Apparently the editors don’t know where to put you in the show and neither do I! He is ranked high in the capability department only because nobody is really playing all that well.

8. Kelly (last week: 6th) (Position: 5th, Capabilities: 9th, Edit: 11th Total: 24 points)

kelly

I have a feeling Dale is gonna go and Kelly will start to rise as a part of Jeremy’s alliance and a character in this game, but as for now she’s got nothing.

7. Keith (last week: 7th) (Position: 8th, Capabilities: 11th, Edit: 4th Total: 25 points)

keith

There’s been a couple of hints of dissension between he and Jeremy, add to it his bonding with Josh and Keith is either in a prime position to flip or be voted out soon.

6. Natalie (last week: 4th) (Position: 3rd , Capabilities: 13th, Edit: 6th Total: 26 points)

natalie

Her blowing up all over John last week was not the kind of thing you want to see out of a Survivor player, but her edit and relationships with her tribe are both strong, so she’s got a shot.

5. Wes (last week: 11th) (Position: 9th, Capabilities: 5th, Edit: 7th Total: 27 points)

wes

Wes probably impressed me the most this week, although his move probably put him in a worse position he seemed very socially capable. As I’ll reinforce with Josh later, I’d much rather take someone with strong social skills who makes a few strategic mistakes than a mastermind who can’t form relationships. Wes built those bonds and showed himself to be thinking by sending the person he wanted to Exile with his dad.

4. Missy (last week: 8th) (Position: 4th, Capabilities: 6th, Edit: 5th Total: 33 points)

missy

The comforter to the outsider while remaining an insider is always a good spot. We’ve gotten a steady dose of Missy, which is especially good considering her daughter has also been prominent.

3. Baylor (last week: 3rd) (Position: 10th, Capabilities: 3rd, Edit: 1st Total: 34 points)

baylor

She’s still not in a great position, but the editors have been favorable to her – showing her as someone on the bottom who recognizes this and works their way into a good position (others who were shown like this recently are Ciera or Spencer which bodes well for her). If she can make a swap or merge she is golden for a while.

2. Jeremy (last week: 1st) (Position: 2nd, Capabilities: 2nd, Edit: 3rd Total: 41 points)

jeremy

Jeremy falls from the number one spot for the first time due to the harshness of his reactions to Rocker. It’s true that he was somewhat able to get Rocker voted out without even being on the tribe, but he will definitely turn into an obvious threat at some point.

1. Josh (last week: 2nd) (Position: 1st, Capabilities: 1st, Edit: 2nd Total: 41 points)

josh

Sure Josh may be relying too heavily on his alliance with Baylor (all of his votes so far have been affected by it) but we all complained so heavily the last two weeks about this too and this week Josh was said to be the most trusted person in the tribe by both John and Wes. When Josh decides to go after John everyone goes along with it right away. Josh is socially killing it. His moves may not be 100% perfect at this point (neither were Tony’s) but given some time – with a social game like this – Josh is playing very well.

Survivor San Juan Del Sur Rankings

Post-Episode 2

These rankings are done BCS style with each player ranked according to the following three categories. Their points for each ranking (which will vary week to week depending on how many contestants there are, eg. with ten people remaining the person ranked first will get ten points, the person ranked tenth will get one) will be added up in a final tally similar to that of the old NCAA BCS rankings (yes I know that was terrible, but it’s fun here).

The three categories:

Position in the Game: This calculates what their position currently seems to be, are they in the middle of an alliance or are they on the outside?

Capability: This is the most subjective of the three, but is based in who I feel has the best skills as a Survivor player. Some of these people may be in a bad position, but with their skills can find a way out of it.

Edit: Survivor is a highly edited show where footage is selected in order to create episodic and full season storylines. The way a person is edited can help to predict how well they will do in the game. If a player is in a very bad position, but is getting a good edit, it is conceivable they will find a way out of it at some point.

The Rankings:

Last week #13 in the rankings, Val, went home.

16. Jaclyn (last week: 17th) (Position: 16th, Capabilities: 15th, Edit: 16th Total: 4 points )

jaclyn

Sorry Jaclyn what we have seen from you hasn’t been great and the editors aren’t showing us much!

15. Drew (last week: 16th) (Position: 15th, Capabilities: 14th, Edit:  15th Total: 7 points)

drew

You are continually thrown under the bus by the editors and Jeremy for some reason has his targets set on you with the most social capacity.

14. Jon (last week: 10th) (Position: 12th, Capabilities: 13th, Edit: 10th Total: 16 points )

jon

This may be where people disagree with me most, but I really felt as if he was supposed to look stupid rather than smart when he lost the flint. He may have won against Rocker, but Julie was given more than he was for doing so. Add to it that he seems on the bottom and it’s not a good week for him.

13. John (last week: 11th) (Position: 3rd , Capabilities: 13th, Edit: 14th Total: 18 points )

rocker

Things are continuing to spiral out of control for the controversial ex-pitcher, but he still has a spot within the majority, is conceivably strong in challenges, and has that Hidden Immunity Idol. Without the idol he might be in last place, but with echoes of so many people wanting to take him to the end, 13th is where he ends up.

12. Julie (last week: 15th) (Position: 14th, Capabilities: 11th, Edit: 7th Total: 20 points)

julie

She is rising up the rankings one positive confessional at a time, what hurts her is that Jeremy might consider going after her because of her bf’s broken deal with him. Need to see more from her.

11. Wes (last week: 14th) (Position: 5th, Capabilities: 12th, Edit: 13th  Total: 21 points)

wes

Was made to look dumb from the beginning, getting few confessionals here doesn’t help, but he is in the majority for now.

10. Reed (last week: 12th) (Position: 10th, Capabilities: 7th, Edit: 11th Total: 23 points)

reed

Can’t really rate him until his tribe goes to tribal, his boyfriend is eating up all of his edit for now.

9. Dale (last week: 5th) (Position: 13th, Capabilities: 8th, Edit: 5th Total: 25 points)

dale

He seemed really high strung this episode which is never the sign of a good Survivor player. Add to it that he continually looks weaker in a losing tribe and it could hurt. The edit has been solid though.

8. Missy (last week: 9th) (Position: 9th, Capabilities: 6th, Edit: 9th Total: 27 points)

missy

Her daughter is the stronger player and winner candidate, but the edit seems to tie them together, so Missy could do something. One of those middle players for the winning tribe.

7. Keith (last week: 4th) (Position: 7th, Capabilities: 6th, Edit: 9th Total: 29 points)

keith

Not much for him on the 2nd episode, maybe he lasts a long while, but as a potential 4th or 5th placer.

6. Kelly (last week: 8th) (Position: 8th, Capabilities: 5th, Edit: 8th Total: 30 points)

kelly

Goes up by default, consistently shown in a slightly positive context. I still believe that she can be a solid player, but all of that is yet to be proven.

5. Alec (last week: 7th) (Position: 4th, Capabilities: 4th, Edit: 12th Total: 31 points)

alec

Being athletic and keeping your mouth shut may lead to Alec being a potential contender, he’s only 5th because there is really NO ONE ELSE!

4. Natalie (last week: 6th) (Position: 6th, Capabilities: 10th, Edit: 3rd Total: 32 points)

natalie

Her twinnie leaving perhaps gave her a more positive edit, but we’ll take it at this point. Everything she has done has been positive, though if she was the winner you’d have to think she would be shown a bit more.

3. Baylor (last week: 3rd) (Position: 11th, Capabilities: 3rd, Edit: 4th Total: 33 points)

baylor

The youngin’ stays in the spotlight for a 2nd episode which continues to make me think that there is something to her. She is a capable person on a tribe with John Rocker, so she could last.

2. Josh (last week: 2nd) (Position: 2nd, Capabilities: 2nd, Edit: 2nd Total: 45 points)

josh

I don’t think Josh is a great player, but the editors are making him out to be the focal point of his tribe. I suppose he could explain away his decisions and make everything right, it’s hard to judge.

1. Jeremy (last week: 1st) (Position:1st , Capabilities: 1st, Edit: 1st Total: 48 points)

jeremy

Jeremy sweeps this week in a season full of nonchalant characters. Nothing is really happening and Jeremy has been shown to be smart, anti-John Rocker, and to have a heart, so he’s got to be number 1, at least amongst this crowd.

 

Survivor San Juan Del Sur Rankings

Last week I released my pre-game rankings for Survivor San Juan del Sur, this week my post week-1 rankings done BCS style with each player ranked according to the following three categories. Their points for each ranking (which will vary week to week depending on how many contestants there are, eg. with ten people remaining the person ranked first will get ten points, the person ranked tenth will get one) will be added up in a final tally similar to that of the old NCAA BCS rankings (yes I know that was terrible, but it’s fun here).

The three categories:

Position in the Game: This calculates what their position currently seems to be, are they in the middle of an alliance or are they on the outside?

Capability: This is the most subjective of the three, but is based in who I feel has the best skills as a Survivor player. Some of these people may be in a bad position, but with their skills can find a way out of it.

Edit: Survivor is a highly edited show where footage is selected in order to create episodic and full season storylines. The way a person is edited can help to predict how well they will do in the game. If a player is in a very bad position, but is getting a good edit, it is conceivable they will find a way out of it at some point.

The Rankings:

17. Jaclyn (Position: 17th, Capabilities: 16th, Edit: 16th Total: 5 points )

Not only is Jaclyn on the losing end of the alliance, but she is on the weaker end of the tribe. Add to this the fact that she doesn’t know much about the game, and her bf got the heartbreaking edit not about her uterus and there is no reason to think she will win.

16. Drew (Position: 13th, Capabilities: 17th, Edit: 17th Total: 7 points )

Drew will conceivably stick around a few votes just for his strength, but bro if you are making a shelter and look around and see that no one else is helping, this is not a good sign! He also had the cocky, oblivious model edit.

15. Julie (Position: 15th, Capabilities: 14th , Edit: 13th Total: 12 points )

I don’t have a good read on Julie, she had some funny lines about Drew that seemed poignant, but also doesn’t seem to be in any alliance. She seems like someone who will be an easy early target and without the protection of an alliance will be doomed.

14. Wes (Position: 7th, Capabilities: 15th, Edit: 15th Total: 17 points)

Got the negative edit in comparison to his dad and the whole John Rocker situation was capped off by John threatening to vote him out via confessional. His position is solid for now, but I don’t think he’s got a real shot.

13. Val (Position: 16th, Capabilities: 5th, Edit: 12th Total: 21 points)

Val was the outsider and now sits further outside after being the vocal one about starting a girls alliance. Credit to her for rallying from her situation to get into a group, but sitting on the outside doesn’t look good right now. Plus she mishandled the idol clue situation, better to tell Keith who can then work with your husband to get the clue. Instead Keith will eventually learn that it in fact was an idol clue and perhaps distrust both Val and Jeremy.

12. Reed (Position: 14th, Capabilities: 11th, Edit: 7th Total: 22 points)

I think Reed is really solid, but the fact that he was silent for most of the episode and not shown to be in the main alliance making could be worrisome. Or it could not be, really hard to tell.

11. John (Position: 3rd, Capabilities: 13th, Edit: 14th Total: 24 points)

He wasn’t given enough of a redemption edit to take him seriously as a contender, but for now he’s sitting pretty as the strongest guy in the guy’s alliance.

10. Jon (Position: 11th, Capabilities: 12th, Edit: 4th Total: 27 points)

He was given the pull on your heartstrings confessional which has got to serve some further purpose down the line, as well as being shown to be likable. However, he was not shown to be in an alliance, which hurts.

9. Missy (Position: 10th, Capabilities: 8th, Edit: 8th Total: 28 points)

Missy is in the middle of the pack in all categories. She is in the main alliance and I really think her and Baylor’s story is going to be the Laura/Ciera of this season.

8. Kelly (Position: 9th, Capabilities: 7th, Edit: 9th Total: 29 points)

My pick to win wasn’t given a whole lot of screen time, but was shown in conversation with Jeremy and was not shown doing anything dumb, so I’ll take it as a good sign.

7. Alec (Position: 5th, Capabilities: 9th, Edit: 11th Total: 29 points)

A nice enough young athletic guy who voted in the majority alliance certainly has a shot of going far. I think his edit and skills make him out to last further than his brother.

6. Natalie (Position: 6th, Capabilities: 6th, Edit: 10th Total: 30 points )

I don’t know how Natalie ended up this high, but I think she will be helped by Nadiya’s departure. Being in an alliance with Jeremy and strong in challenges also helps.

5. Dale (Position: 12th, Capabilities: 2nd, Edit: 5th Total: 35 points )

Are we being set up for a Dale boot or will his overcoming this episode lead to him being safe for weeks to come? Hard to say, but Dale played hard this episode and really saved himself. He made himself an asset, recognized he was on the outs, and seemed to plant all the right seeds to get Nadiya out.

4. Keith (Position: 8th, Capabilities: 10th, Edit: 1st Total: 35 points)

Keith could have been the old, unimportant figure. He could have been the unaware Southerner. He could have been the guy who went to exile and could not work himself back in with the tribe. But Keith was one of the most prominent figures of the episode. He (successfully) threw shade at his son, made bonds with people, and came across as likable. I see bright things for his future.

3. Baylor (Position: 4th, Capabilities: 3rd, Edit: 6th Total: 41 points)

Like Keith, Baylor could have been seen a lot of different ways, but she came across as strong, confident, and willing to play. I like the fact that she positioned herself as being with the women and tying herself to Josh as well. While we don’t know why he voted for her, I could see Baylor Ciera-ing herself to the guys and becoming a pivotal player later on. After Jaclyn and Val get picked off I could see Dale, Wes, or John becoming the target over her. Plus, the edit seemed to set her up as someone who has had to be strong throughout her life, she’s my underdog for now.

2. Jeremy (Position: 1st, Capabilities: 4th, Edit: 3rd Total: 46 points )

Jeremy put himself in a fantastic position and the episode was all about him. He showed that he is there to play and while I like this, I am not confident whether this is good or not. People who play too hard, too fast (your Martys and Matts) do not tend to win Survivor. Maybe Jeremy will pull a Tony and defy expectations with his fast and loose play, but for now the best he looks to be going for is a spot on the next All-Stars.

1. Josh (Position: 2nd , Capabilities:1st , Edit: 2nd Total: 49 points)

All of my hype about Josh could be quickly negated when it is discovered why he voted for Baylor, but since the editors didn’t really seem to draw attention to it, I will ignore it for now. The swing vote can be a precarious position to be in, especially early, but I think Josh played it well enough and having a partner to be able to decide with helps tremendously. If he can get one of the guys to his side he may be able to take control of the core group. The camera seemed to love him, he was making smart moves (his quote about always saying yes seemed to be a good sign), and for now he seems like the most obvious choice for a winner.